Statistics / Football / Lithuania. 1 Lyga / Garliava vs Dainava

Garliava vs Dainava Statistics & Analysis

Garliava Garliava
Oct 02, 2026 - 16:30
2 1.25
1 1.35
xG Accuracy: 74%
Dainava Dainava
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dainava Garliava ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10973355

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Garliava win · Garliava 2–1 Dainava
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1 Lyga
  • Fixture: Garliava vs Dainava
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Garliava 1.25 — Dainava 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.4% · Probability edge: +9.4 pts · Est. EV: +21.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Garliava & Dainava!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
1 Lyga 1 Lyga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Minija 25 22 1 2 67
2 Babrungas 26 20 4 2 64
3 Be1 NFA 25 16 3 6 51
4 Žalgiris II 26 14 4 8 46
5 Neptūną Klaipėda 26 14 2 10 44
6 Tauras 25 13 4 8 43
7 BFA 26 13 4 9 43
8 Dainava 26 11 8 7 41
9 Atmosfera 25 8 7 10 31
10 Jonava 26 7 6 13 27
11 Garliava 26 7 5 14 26
12 Hegelmann II 26 8 1 17 25
13 Kauno Žalgiris II 26 7 2 17 23
14 Transinvest 2 26 6 4 16 22
15 FA Šiauliai II 26 4 6 16 18
16 Ekranas 26 4 3 19 15
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Minija 25 68 13 +55 67
2 Babrungas 26 45 11 +34 64
3 Be1 NFA 25 45 27 +18 51
4 Tauras 25 43 31 +12 43
5 Žalgiris II 26 40 33 +7 46
6 BFA 26 40 37 +3 43
7 Dainava 26 37 27 +10 41
8 Atmosfera 25 37 33 +4 31
9 Neptūną Klaipėda 26 33 31 +2 44
10 Hegelmann II 26 31 56 -25 25
11 Transinvest 2 26 30 59 -29 22
12 FA Šiauliai II 26 30 59 -29 18
13 Garliava 26 29 31 -2 26
14 Jonava 26 28 35 -7 27
15 Kauno Žalgiris II 26 26 46 -20 23
16 Ekranas 26 26 59 -33 15
1 Lyga Lithuania. 1 Lyga Predictions