Statistics / Football / Japan. J3 League / FC Ryukyu vs Kanazawa

FC Ryukyu vs Kanazawa Statistics & Analysis

FC Ryukyu FC Ryukyu
Oct 03, 2026 - 08:00
0 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 61%
Kanazawa Kanazawa
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Kanazawa Kanazawa ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11217564

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kanazawa win · FC Ryukyu 0–2 Kanazawa
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: J3 League
  • Fixture: FC Ryukyu vs Kanazawa
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 08:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): FC Ryukyu 1.21 — Kanazawa 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.6% · Probability edge: +6.2 pts · Est. EV: +10.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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J3 League J3 League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Kagoshima United 8 6 2 0 20
2 Ehime FC 8 5 2 1 17
3 Osaka 8 4 4 0 16
4 Renofa Yamaguchi 8 4 2 2 14
5 Roasso Kumamoto 9 3 5 1 14
6 Nara Club 8 4 2 2 14
7 FC Gifu 8 4 1 3 13
8 Biwako Shiga 9 4 1 4 13
9 Sagamihara 8 3 3 2 12
10 FC Ryukyu 8 3 2 3 11
11 Parceiro Nagano 8 3 2 3 11
12 Kanazawa 8 3 1 4 10
13 Gainare Tottori 8 3 1 4 10
14 Tochigi SC 8 2 3 3 9
15 Matsumoto Yamaga 8 1 5 2 8
16 Fukushima United 8 2 1 5 7
17 Kitakyushu 8 1 4 3 7
18 Thespakusatsu Gunma 8 2 0 6 6
19 Kochi United 8 1 2 5 5
20 Kamatamare Sanuki 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Gifu 8 19 8 +11 13
2 Ehime FC 8 19 9 +10 17
3 Nara Club 8 18 16 +2 14
4 Osaka 8 17 7 +10 16
5 Kagoshima United 8 16 8 +8 20
6 Fukushima United 8 16 20 -4 7
7 Sagamihara 8 14 10 +4 12
8 Kanazawa 8 14 13 +1 10
9 Biwako Shiga 9 14 14 0 13
10 Renofa Yamaguchi 8 11 7 +4 14
11 Parceiro Nagano 8 11 12 -1 11
12 Tochigi SC 8 11 14 -3 9
13 Gainare Tottori 8 11 18 -7 10
14 FC Ryukyu 8 10 10 0 11
15 Kitakyushu 8 10 16 -6 7
16 Kamatamare Sanuki 8 10 17 -7 4
17 Matsumoto Yamaga 8 8 10 -2 8
18 Roasso Kumamoto 9 7 4 +3 14
19 Thespakusatsu Gunma 8 7 15 -8 6
20 Kochi United 8 3 18 -15 5
J3 League Japan. J3 League Predictions