Statistics / Football / Israel. Ligat Ha'al / Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin Statistics & Analysis

Oct 10, 2026 - 16:30
0 1.20
0 0.83
xG Accuracy: 57%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Maccabi Tel Aviv Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13246657

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Maccabi Tel Aviv 0–0 Bnei Sakhnin
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Ligat Ha'al
  • Fixture: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Bnei Sakhnin
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.9% · Draw 33.2% · Away 23.8%
  • xG (showing): Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.2 — Bnei Sakhnin 0.83 (total xG ≈ 2.03)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Ligat Ha'al Ligat Ha'al — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 5 0 0 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 4 0 1 12
3 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 3 1 1 10
4 Hapoel Beer Sheva 5 3 1 1 10
5 Beitar Jerusalem 5 3 0 2 9
6 Hapoel Katamon 5 2 1 2 7
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 1 3 1 6
8 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 2 0 3 6
9 Maccabi Netanya 5 1 2 2 5
10 Bnei Sakhnin 5 1 1 3 4
11 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 1 0 4 3
12 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 5 1 0 4 3
13 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 1 0 4 3
14 Ironi Tiberias 5 2 1 2 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 18 6 +12 15
2 Maccabi Haifa 5 12 7 +5 12
3 Hapoel Katamon 5 12 12 0 7
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 11 4 +7 10
5 Hapoel Beer Sheva 5 8 7 +1 10
6 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 8 11 -3 6
7 Hapoel Haifa 5 7 6 +1 6
8 Ironi Tiberias 5 7 8 -1 1
9 Beitar Jerusalem 5 7 9 -2 9
10 Maccabi Netanya 5 6 6 0 5
11 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 5 5 11 -6 3
12 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 4 9 -5 3
13 Bnei Sakhnin 5 3 6 -3 4
14 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 2 8 -6 3
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv 5 2.1 0.2 +1.9 15
2 Maccabi Netanya 5 1.9 0.4 +1.5 5
3 Hapoel Beer Sheva 5 1.6 1.0 +0.6 10
4 Hapoel Tel Aviv 5 2.1 1.7 +0.4 10
5 Hapoel Haifa 5 1.0 0.7 +0.3 6
6 Maccabi Petah Tikva 5 0.7 1.0 -0.3 6
7 Ironi Kiryat Shmona 5 1.7 2.1 -0.4 3
8 Ironi Tiberias 5 1.0 1.6 -0.6 1
9 Hapoel Petah Tikva 5 0.4 1.9 -1.5 3
10 Bnei Sakhnin 5 0.2 2.1 -1.9 4
11 Maccabi Haifa 5 — — — 12
12 Beitar Jerusalem 5 — — — 9
13 Hapoel Katamon 5 — — — 7
14 Hapoel Ramat Gan 5 — — — 3