Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Statistics & Analysis

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Oct 10, 2026 - 16:15

1 1.28

3 1.06

xG Accuracy: 54%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Ironi Kiryat Shmona Hapoel Tel Aviv ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:04 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13246636

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Hapoel Tel Aviv win · Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1–3 Hapoel Tel Aviv

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Ligat Ha'al
Fixture: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.7% · Draw 31.3% · Away 29.0%
xG (showing): Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.28 — Hapoel Tel Aviv 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.34)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 58.6% · Implied: 47.0% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +18.4%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Ligat Ha'al — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	5	0	0	15
2	Maccabi Haifa	5	4	0	1	12
3	Hapoel Tel Aviv	5	3	1	1	10
4	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5	3	1	1	10
5	Beitar Jerusalem	5	3	0	2	9
6	Hapoel Katamon	5	2	1	2	7
7	Hapoel Haifa	5	1	3	1	6
8	Maccabi Petah Tikva	5	2	0	3	6
9	Maccabi Netanya	5	1	2	2	5
10	Bnei Sakhnin	5	1	1	3	4
11	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	1	0	4	3
12	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	5	1	0	4	3
13	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	1	0	4	3
14	Ironi Tiberias	5	2	1	2	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	18	6	+12	15
2	Maccabi Haifa	5	12	7	+5	12
3	Hapoel Katamon	5	12	12	0	7
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	5	11	4	+7	10
5	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5	8	7	+1	10
6	Maccabi Petah Tikva	5	8	11	-3	6
7	Hapoel Haifa	5	7	6	+1	6
8	Ironi Tiberias	5	7	8	-1	1
9	Beitar Jerusalem	5	7	9	-2	9
10	Maccabi Netanya	5	6	6	0	5
11	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	5	5	11	-6	3
12	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	4	9	-5	3
13	Bnei Sakhnin	5	3	6	-3	4
14	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	2	8	-6	3

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Maccabi Tel Aviv	5	2.1	0.2	+1.9	15
2	Maccabi Netanya	5	1.9	0.4	+1.5	5
3	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5	1.6	1.0	+0.6	10
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	5	2.1	1.7	+0.4	10
5	Hapoel Haifa	5	1.0	0.7	+0.3	6
6	Maccabi Petah Tikva	5	0.7	1.0	-0.3	6
7	Ironi Kiryat Shmona	5	1.7	2.1	-0.4	3
8	Ironi Tiberias	5	1.0	1.6	-0.6	1
9	Hapoel Petah Tikva	5	0.4	1.9	-1.5	3
10	Bnei Sakhnin	5	0.2	2.1	-1.9	4
11	Maccabi Haifa	5	—	—	—	12
12	Beitar Jerusalem	5	—	—	—	9
13	Hapoel Katamon	5	—	—	—	7
14	Hapoel Ramat Gan	5	—	—	—	3