Statistics / Football / Israel. Liga Leumit / Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC

Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC Statistics & Analysis

Oct 09, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.31
2 1.29
xG Accuracy: 68%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Maccabi Kiryat Gat Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12687085

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Maccabi Kiryat Gat 2–2 Kiryat Yam SC
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga Leumit
  • Fixture: Maccabi Kiryat Gat vs Kiryat Yam SC
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): Maccabi Kiryat Gat 1.31 — Kiryat Yam SC 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.4% · Probability edge: +8.4 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Leumit Liga Leumit — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ashdod 9 8 0 1 24
2 Bnei Yehuda 9 7 2 0 23
3 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 9 6 2 1 20
4 Hapoel Afula 9 5 2 2 17
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 9 5 2 2 17
6 Kiryat Yam SC 9 5 1 3 16
7 Hapoel Ra'anana 9 5 0 4 15
8 Kafr Qasim 9 4 1 4 13
9 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 4 1 4 13
10 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 9 3 1 5 10
11 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 9 2 3 4 9
12 Ironi Modi'in 9 2 2 5 8
13 Maccabi Herzliya 9 2 2 5 8
14 Hapoel Kfar Saba 9 2 0 7 6
15 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 9 2 0 7 6
16 Hapoel Acre 9 0 1 8 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Kiryat Yam SC 9 25 15 +10 16
2 Ashdod 9 22 8 +14 24
3 Bnei Yehuda 9 20 7 +13 23
4 Hapoel Ra'anana 9 20 13 +7 15
5 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 9 19 18 +1 17
6 Hapoel Rishon LeZion 9 18 9 +9 20
7 Hapoel Afula 9 18 13 +5 17
8 Maccabi Bnei Raina 9 13 13 0 13
9 Ironi Modi'in 9 13 17 -4 8
10 Kafr Qasim 9 12 9 +3 13
11 Hapoel Kfar Saba 9 11 24 -13 6
12 Maccabi Ahi Nazareth 9 10 13 -3 10
13 Maccabi Kiryat Gat 9 9 11 -2 9
14 Maccabi Herzliya 9 9 13 -4 8
15 Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa 9 7 20 -13 6
16 Hapoel Acre 9 0 23 -23 1