Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Slovácko vs Zorya Luhansk

Slovácko vs Zorya Luhansk Statistics & Analysis

Slovácko Slovácko
Jul 08, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.41
1 1.19
xG Accuracy: 81%
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Slovácko Slovácko ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 14:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1606148

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Slovácko win · Slovácko 2–1 Zorya Luhansk
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Slovácko vs Zorya Luhansk
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-08 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away 30.0%
  • xG (showing): Slovácko 1.41 — Zorya Luhansk 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.6% · Probability edge: +9.2 pts · Est. EV: +19.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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