Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Liptovský Mikuláš vs Podhale Nowy Targ

Liptovský Mikuláš vs Podhale Nowy Targ Statistics & Analysis

Liptovský Mikuláš Liptovský Mikuláš
Jun 27, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.22
0 1.38
xG Accuracy: 55%
Podhale Nowy Targ Podhale Nowy Targ
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Podhale Nowy Targ Liptovský Mikuláš ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 09:01 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3035858

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Liptovský Mikuláš win · Liptovský Mikuláš 2–0 Podhale Nowy Targ
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Liptovský Mikuláš vs Podhale Nowy Targ
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.2% · Draw 28.4% · Away 38.3%
  • xG (showing): Liptovský Mikuláš 1.22 — Podhale Nowy Targ 1.38 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 38.5% · Probability edge: +13.3 pts · Est. EV: +33.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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