Zlin vs Skalica Statistics & Analysis

Zlin

Jun 27, 2026 - 09:15

1 1.29

2 1.31

xG Accuracy: 76%

Skalica

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Zlin Skalica ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 20:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1763292

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Skalica win · Zlin 1–2 Skalica

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: Zlin vs Skalica
Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:15:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.5% · Draw 28.6% · Away 33.9%
xG (showing): Zlin 1.29 — Skalica 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.5% · Probability edge: +11.3 pts · Est. EV: +21.7%
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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