Unia Tarnow vs Nieciecza Statistics & Analysis

Unia Tarnow

Jun 20, 2026 - 13:30

0 1.21

5 1.39

xG Accuracy: 27%

Nieciecza

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Nieciecza Nieciecza ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 13, 2026 · 04:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3829853

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Nieciecza win · Unia Tarnow 0–5 Nieciecza

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Friendlies Clubs
Fixture: Unia Tarnow vs Nieciecza
Kickoff: 2026-06-20 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 20.2% · Draw 26.3% · Away 53.5%
xG (showing): Unia Tarnow 1.21 — Nieciecza 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.6%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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