Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Vlašim vs Dukla Praha

Vlašim vs Dukla Praha Statistics & Analysis

Vlašim Vlašim
Jun 20, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.30
3 1.30
xG Accuracy: 52%
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dukla Praha Dukla Praha ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 21:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3077007

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dukla Praha win · Vlašim 2–3 Dukla Praha
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Vlašim vs Dukla Praha
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-20 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 28.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Vlašim 1.3 — Dukla Praha 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.3% · Probability edge: +11.5 pts · Est. EV: +24.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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