Statistics / Football / Brazil. Baiano U20 / Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20

Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20 Statistics & Analysis

Jacobina U20 Jacobina U20
Jun 28, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.02
3 1.58
xG Accuracy: 51%
Bahia U20 Bahia U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Bahia U20 Bahia U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 04:19 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1550053

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bahia U20 win · Jacobina U20 0–3 Bahia U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Baiano U20
  • Fixture: Jacobina U20 vs Bahia U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-28 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.9% · Draw 28.3% · Away 48.8%
  • xG (showing): Jacobina U20 1.02 — Bahia U20 1.58 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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