Statistics / Football / Serbia. Prva Liga / Javor vs Borac Cacak

Javor vs Borac Cacak Statistics & Analysis

Javor Javor
Oct 04, 2026 - 14:00
3 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 59%
Borac Cacak Borac Cacak
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Javor Javor ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11253090

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Javor win · Javor 3–1 Borac Cacak
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Prva Liga
  • Fixture: Javor vs Borac Cacak
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Javor 1.33 — Borac Cacak 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +0.3%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Prva Liga Prva Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Borac Cacak 12 8 1 3 25
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 6 6 0 24
3 Semendrija 1924 12 7 3 2 24
4 Javor 12 6 5 1 23
5 OFK Vršac 12 7 1 4 22
6 Metalac GM 12 5 3 4 18
7 Napredak 12 5 2 5 17
8 Dubočica 12 4 4 4 16
9 FK Vozdovac 12 4 3 5 15
10 Loznica 12 3 6 3 15
11 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 12 4 3 5 15
12 Naftagas 12 3 4 5 13
13 Grafičar 12 3 1 8 10
14 Teleoptik 12 2 4 6 10
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 2 2 8 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 2 2 8 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Javor 12 29 14 +15 23
2 TSC Backa Topola 12 24 13 +11 24
3 Semendrija 1924 12 21 13 +8 24
4 Borac Cacak 12 21 16 +5 25
5 Naftagas 12 19 15 +4 13
6 FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV 12 18 23 -5 15
7 OFK Vršac 12 16 11 +5 22
8 Metalac GM 12 16 12 +4 18
9 Loznica 12 16 19 -3 15
10 Grafičar 12 16 23 -7 10
11 Teleoptik 12 14 23 -9 10
12 Napredak 12 13 15 -2 17
13 Dubočica 12 13 15 -2 16
14 FK Vozdovac 12 11 11 0 15
15 Jedinstvo Ub 12 11 21 -10 8
16 OFK Bor 1919 12 7 21 -14 8
Prva Liga Serbia. Prva Liga Predictions