Statistics / Football / Serbia. Super Liga / Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda

Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda Statistics & Analysis

Radnicki 1923 Radnicki 1923
Oct 10, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.27
3 1.73
xG Accuracy: 50%
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 2-1 0-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13243442

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result FK Crvena Zvezda win · Radnicki 1923 0–3 FK Crvena Zvezda
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Super Liga
  • Fixture: Radnicki 1923 vs FK Crvena Zvezda
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 22.8% · Draw 25.0% · Away 52.3%
  • xG (showing): Radnicki 1923 1.27 — FK Crvena Zvezda 1.73 (total xG ≈ 3.0)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 60.6% · Implied: 53.6% · Probability edge: +7.0 pts · Est. EV: +10.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Super Liga Super Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FK Crvena Zvezda 10 9 1 0 28
2 Vojvodina 10 7 1 2 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 5 2 2 17
4 Mladost Lucani 10 4 4 2 16
5 IMT Novi Beograd 10 4 3 3 15
6 Železničar Pančevo 9 4 2 3 14
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 3 5 2 14
8 Novi Pazar 10 3 4 3 13
9 Cukaricki 10 3 2 5 11
10 OFK Beograd 10 2 3 5 9
11 FK Partizan 9 2 2 5 8
12 Radnicki NIS 9 2 2 5 8
13 Macva 10 2 2 6 8
14 Zemun 10 0 3 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FK Crvena Zvezda 10 24 3 +21 28
2 Vojvodina 10 21 10 +11 22
3 Radnicki 1923 9 17 9 +8 17
4 FK Partizan 9 17 19 -2 8
5 Železničar Pančevo 9 14 10 +4 14
6 Radnik Surdulica 10 14 15 -1 14
7 OFK Beograd 10 13 21 -8 9
8 IMT Novi Beograd 10 12 7 +5 15
9 Cukaricki 10 12 18 -6 11
10 Novi Pazar 10 10 11 -1 13
11 Mladost Lucani 10 10 12 -2 16
12 Radnicki NIS 9 6 11 -5 8
13 Macva 10 6 17 -11 8
14 Zemun 10 6 19 -13 3
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Vojvodina 10 7.0 1.1 +5.9 22
2 FK Crvena Zvezda 10 8.1 2.5 +5.6 28
3 FK Partizan 9 3.7 3.1 +0.6 8
4 Cukaricki 10 2.8 2.3 +0.5 11
5 Radnicki NIS 9 1.1 0.9 +0.2 8
6 Radnicki 1923 9 3.2 3.2 0.0 17
7 Radnik Surdulica 10 1.8 1.8 0.0 14
8 IMT Novi Beograd 10 2.7 2.9 -0.2 15
9 Železničar Pančevo 9 0.9 1.1 -0.2 14
10 Novi Pazar 10 1.1 1.9 -0.8 13
11 OFK Beograd 10 0.3 2.1 -1.8 9
12 Macva 10 1.4 5.7 -4.3 8
13 Zemun 10 1.9 7.4 -5.5 3
14 Mladost Lucani 10 — — — 16
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