Statistics / Football / Macedonia. Second League / Belasica vs Teteks

Belasica vs Teteks Statistics & Analysis

Belasica Belasica
Sep 13, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.38
2 1.22
xG Accuracy: 68%
Teteks Teteks
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Belasica Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7439944

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Belasica 2–2 Teteks
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Second League
  • Fixture: Belasica vs Teteks
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-13 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Belasica 1.38 — Teteks 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Second League Second League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ohrid 6 5 0 1 15
2 Pelister 6 4 2 0 14
3 Akademija Pandev 5 4 1 0 13
4 FK Rabotnicki 5 4 0 1 12
5 Belasica 6 2 4 0 10
6 Kamjani 6 3 1 2 10
7 Novaci 6 2 1 3 7
8 Makedonija GjP 6 2 1 3 7
9 Detonit Plachkovica 6 2 1 3 7
10 Kozuv Gevgelija 6 2 1 3 7
11 Teteks 6 1 3 2 6
12 Gorno Lisiče 6 1 1 4 4
13 Osogovo 6 0 2 4 2
14 Shkupi 1927 6 0 0 6 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ohrid 6 14 4 +10 15
2 Akademija Pandev 5 12 1 +11 13
3 Pelister 6 9 1 +8 14
4 Belasica 6 7 5 +2 10
5 FK Rabotnicki 5 6 2 +4 12
6 Kamjani 6 6 5 +1 10
7 Detonit Plachkovica 6 6 8 -2 7
8 Teteks 6 6 8 -2 6
9 Kozuv Gevgelija 6 6 11 -5 7
10 Novaci 6 5 5 0 7
11 Gorno Lisiče 6 5 6 -1 4
12 Makedonija GjP 6 3 4 -1 7
13 Osogovo 6 2 6 -4 2
14 Shkupi 1927 6 1 22 -21 0