Statistics / Football / World. All-Island Cup - Women / Shelbourne W vs Cliftonville W

Shelbourne W vs Cliftonville W Statistics & Analysis

Jun 13, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.48
1 1.12
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Shelbourne W Shelbourne W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 04:09 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2835442

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Shelbourne W win · Shelbourne W 3–1 Cliftonville W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: All-Island Cup - Women
  • Fixture: Shelbourne W vs Cliftonville W
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 43.9% · Draw 29.1% · Away 27.1%
  • xG (showing): Shelbourne W 1.48 — Cliftonville W 1.12 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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All-Island Cup - Women All-Island Cup - Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Shamrock Rovers W 3 2 0 1 6
2 Linfield W 3 1 1 1 4
3 Wexford Youths 3 1 1 1 4
4 Sligo Rovers W 3 1 0 2 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Linfield W 3 7 3 +4 4
2 Wexford Youths 3 6 3 +3 4
3 Shamrock Rovers W 3 5 7 -2 6
4 Sligo Rovers W 3 3 8 -5 3