Statistics / Football / Mali. Première Division / ASKO vs Djoliba

ASKO vs Djoliba Statistics & Analysis

ASKO ASKO
Jun 14, 2026 - 18:15
1 0.79
3 0.94
xG Accuracy: 54%
Djoliba Djoliba
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 draw Djoliba ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 0-0, 0-1, 1-0, 1-1, 0-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 01:14 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8197848

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Djoliba win · ASKO 1–3 Djoliba
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Première Division
  • Fixture: ASKO vs Djoliba
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-14 18:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.3% · Draw 37.0% · Away 35.7%
  • xG (showing): ASKO 0.79 — Djoliba 0.94 (total xG ≈ 1.73)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 74.9% · Over 2.5 25.1%); BTTS No (Yes 35.0% · No 65.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 35.0% · No 65.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 0-0 (17.7%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Première Division Première Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 59
2 Stade Malien Bamako 26 14 8 4 50
3 Réal Bamako 26 14 7 5 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 42
7 ASKO 26 9 6 11 33
8 US Bougouba 26 8 7 11 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 27
11 Afrique Football Élite 26 7 6 13 27
12 Onze Créateurs 26 6 8 12 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20
14 Bougouni 26 4 4 18 16
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Djoliba 26 41 12 +29 59
2 USFAS Bamako 26 37 27 +10 42
3 Réal Bamako 26 32 14 +18 49
4 Diarra 26 32 24 +8 44
5 Stade Malien Bamako 26 28 15 +13 50
6 Binga 26 28 15 +13 43
7 ASKO 26 28 31 -3 33
8 Afrique Football Élite 26 23 38 -15 27
9 US Bougouba 26 21 34 -13 31
10 Bakaridjan 26 20 27 -7 27
11 Mali Coura 26 20 31 -11 20
12 Derby Academie 26 19 22 -3 29
13 Onze Créateurs 26 16 24 -8 26
14 Bougouni 26 12 43 -31 16