Statistics / Football / Brazil. Paranaense U20 / Patriotas U20 vs Araucaria U20

Patriotas U20 vs Araucaria U20 Statistics & Analysis

Patriotas U20 Patriotas U20
Jun 13, 2026 - 18:00
2 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 78%
Araucaria U20 Araucaria U20
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Patriotas U20 Patriotas U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 22:37 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1771270

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Patriotas U20 win · Patriotas U20 2–1 Araucaria U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Paranaense U20
  • Fixture: Patriotas U20 vs Araucaria U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-13 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Patriotas U20 1.34 — Araucaria U20 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Paranaense U20 Paranaense U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Coritiba U20 11 8 1 2 25
2 Athletico PR U20 11 7 2 2 23
3 Cascavel U20 11 5 5 1 20
4 City London U20 11 5 3 3 18
5 Operário PR U20 11 5 1 5 16
6 Galo Maringá U20 11 4 2 5 14
7 Araucaria U20 11 4 2 5 14
8 Patriotas U20 11 4 2 5 14
9 Parana Clube U20 11 3 4 4 13
10 CE União U20 11 2 3 6 9
11 Hope Internacional U20 11 2 3 6 9
12 Cianorte U20 11 2 2 7 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Coritiba U20 11 24 8 +16 25
2 Cascavel U20 11 23 15 +8 20
3 Galo Maringá U20 11 23 21 +2 14
4 Athletico PR U20 11 21 10 +11 23
5 City London U20 11 21 19 +2 18
6 Operário PR U20 11 16 16 0 16
7 Araucaria U20 11 15 17 -2 14
8 Parana Clube U20 11 14 16 -2 13
9 CE União U20 11 14 26 -12 9
10 Patriotas U20 11 13 17 -4 14
11 Cianorte U20 11 13 26 -13 8
12 Hope Internacional U20 11 12 18 -6 9