Statistics / Football / Brazil. Paraibano U20 / Sousa U20 vs Auto Esporte PB U20

Sousa U20 vs Auto Esporte PB U20 Statistics & Analysis

Sousa U20 Sousa U20
Jun 12, 2026 - 22:00
4 1.26
1 1.34
xG Accuracy: 43%
Auto Esporte PB U20 Auto Esporte PB U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Auto Esporte PB U20 Sousa U20 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 22:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1516366

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sousa U20 win · Sousa U20 4–1 Auto Esporte PB U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Paraibano U20
  • Fixture: Sousa U20 vs Auto Esporte PB U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-12 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Sousa U20 1.26 — Auto Esporte PB U20 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Paraibano U20 Paraibano U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Confiança PB U20 5 3 2 0 11
2 Cruzeiro Itaporanga U20 5 3 2 0 11
3 Treze U20 4 3 1 0 10
4 Auto Esporte PB U20 5 3 1 1 10
5 Sousa U20 4 2 1 1 7
6 Grêmio Serrano U20 4 2 0 2 6
7 Queimadense U20 4 1 2 1 5
8 Guarabira U20 5 1 2 2 5
9 Sport PB U20 5 1 0 4 3
10 Spartax U20 5 0 1 4 1
11 Sabugy U20 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Confiança PB U20 5 15 4 +11 11
2 Cruzeiro Itaporanga U20 5 14 4 +10 11
3 Treze U20 4 13 2 +11 10
4 Auto Esporte PB U20 5 8 5 +3 10
5 Queimadense U20 4 5 4 +1 5
6 Guarabira U20 5 5 5 0 5
7 Sousa U20 4 4 2 +2 7
8 Grêmio Serrano U20 4 4 8 -4 6
9 Sport PB U20 5 4 15 -11 3
10 Spartax U20 5 3 16 -13 1
11 Sabugy U20 4 2 12 -10 0