Tracked markets vs full-time result
Prediction grade
Not available
Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.
- Market Prediction Result Outcome
- Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
- Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
- 1X2 Levski Sofia CSKA Sofia ✖ Incorrect
- Correct Score Insights 1-0, 0-0, 1-1, 0-1, 2-0 0-3 ✖ Incorrect
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Prediction Timeline
How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.
-
Nov 08, 2026 · 15:00 UTC Kickoff
-
FT Full-time result CSKA Sofia win · 0–3
Historical Snapshot
Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.
Historical verdict:
No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability
57/100
· Moderate
- Validation: Pending
Evidence
★★★★★
- No strong statistical edge
- Market has already priced much of the edge
- Validation pending
Market Compatibility
100/100
Betting Confidence
59/100
Validation Report
Closing Odds
Pending
AI Fair Odds
—
CLV
Pending
Final Result
CSKA Sofia win · Levski Sofia 0–3 CSKA Sofia
Prediction
No prediction record
Decision Grade
Not assessed
Review FAQ
- How accurate was the prediction?
- This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
- What does xG Accuracy measure?
- xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
- Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
- Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
- Does this improve the AI record?
- Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.
Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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First League — Standings
| # | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 34 |
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 30 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 29 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 12 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 |
| # | TEAM | MP | GS | GC | +/- | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia | 14 | 32 | 9 | +23 | 34 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 13 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 30 |
| 4 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 32 |
| 5 | Botev Plovdiv | 14 | 23 | 21 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 14 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 21 |
| 7 | Dunav Ruse | 14 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 12 |
| 8 | Spartak Varna | 14 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 14 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 9 |
| 10 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Septemvri Sofia | 14 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
| 12 | Botev Vratsa | 14 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 10 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 14 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 14 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
