SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98 Statistics & Analysis

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

Jul 25, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.37

7 1.23

xG Accuracy: 17%

SV Darmstadt 98

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach SV Darmstadt 98 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-7 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1453342

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result SV Darmstadt 98 win · SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–7 SV Darmstadt 98

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs SV Darmstadt 98
Kickoff: 2026-07-25 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): SG Sonnenhof Großaspach 1.37 — SV Darmstadt 98 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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