Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Real Salt Lake vs Burnley

Real Salt Lake vs Burnley Statistics & Analysis

Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
Jul 16, 2026 - 01:30
4 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 45%
Burnley Burnley
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1629804

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Salt Lake win · Real Salt Lake 4–1 Burnley
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Club Friendlies
  • Fixture: Real Salt Lake vs Burnley
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-16 01:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.4% · Draw 28.4% · Away 34.3%
  • xG (showing): Real Salt Lake 1.34 — Burnley 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 40.2% · Probability edge: +11.6 pts · Est. EV: +24.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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