Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Teplice vs Spartak Trnava

Teplice vs Spartak Trnava Statistics & Analysis

Teplice Teplice
Jun 27, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.41
0 1.19
xG Accuracy: 61%
Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Teplice Teplice ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 0-0 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 05, 2026 · 15:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3056322

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Teplice win · Teplice 2–0 Spartak Trnava
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Teplice vs Spartak Trnava
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 28.7% · Away 29.4%
  • xG (showing): Teplice 1.41 — Spartak Trnava 1.19 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 46.4% · Probability edge: +5.4 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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