Statistics / Football / Syria. Premier League / Hottin vs Damascus Al-Ahli

Hottin vs Damascus Al-Ahli Statistics & Analysis

Hottin Hottin
Jun 28, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.29
3 1.04
xG Accuracy: 48%
⚽
Damascus Al-Ahli
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Hottin Damascus Al-Ahli ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0, 2-1 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 22:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1770800

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Damascus Al-Ahli win · Hottin 2–3 Damascus Al-Ahli
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Hottin vs Damascus Al-Ahli
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-28 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away 28.2%
  • xG (showing): Hottin 1.29 — Damascus Al-Ahli 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.33)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Al Ittihad 30 22 7 1 73
2 Wathba 30 22 6 2 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 62
4 Al Karama 30 17 7 6 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 44
8 Jaish 30 10 11 9 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 35
11 Shorta 30 8 9 13 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 30
13 Omaya SC 30 5 9 16 24
14 Khan Shaykhun SC 30 6 5 19 23
15 Jabala 30 6 4 20 22
16 Al Shouleh 30 4 5 21 17
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Al Ittihad 30 83 25 +58 73
2 Wathba 30 55 12 +43 72
3 Al Karama 30 55 30 +25 58
4 Al Wahda 30 53 24 +29 62
5 Tishreen 30 42 34 +8 44
6 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 37 44 -7 39
7 Foutoua 30 36 53 -17 30
8 Hottin 30 33 37 -4 45
9 Al Taliya 30 32 24 +8 47
10 Horriya 30 30 34 -4 35
11 Shorta 30 29 47 -18 33
12 Omaya SC 30 27 44 -17 24
13 Jabala 30 27 60 -33 22
14 Khan Shaykhun SC 30 26 53 -27 23
15 Jaish 30 23 30 -7 41
16 Al Shouleh 30 14 51 -37 17