Quindio vs Real Santander Statistics & Analysis

Quindio

Sep 05, 2026 - 22:00

0 1.39

0 1.21

xG Accuracy: 49%

Real Santander

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Quindio Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 04:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6170326

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Quindio 0–0 Real Santander

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Primera B
Fixture: Quindio vs Real Santander
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Quindio 1.39 — Real Santander 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Primera B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Internacional Palmira	30	16	8	6	56
2	Real Cartagena	32	15	9	8	54
3	Envigado	32	15	9	8	54
4	Quindio	30	14	9	7	51
5	Union Magdalena	29	14	6	9	48
6	Tigres FC	31	11	9	11	42
7	Bogota FC	30	9	10	11	37
8	Ind. Yumbo	24	9	9	6	36
9	Patriotas	25	9	7	9	34
10	Barranquilla	31	9	7	15	34
11	Real Soacha	25	8	9	8	33
12	Popayan	24	6	9	9	27
13	Orsomarso	23	6	8	9	26
14	Depor FC	25	5	8	12	23
15	Real Santander	25	3	10	12	19
16	Leones FC	24	4	7	13	19

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Real Cartagena	32	50	35	+15	54
2	Envigado	32	43	28	+15	54
3	Union Magdalena	29	40	28	+12	48
4	Internacional Palmira	30	39	27	+12	56
5	Barranquilla	31	36	42	-6	34
6	Quindio	30	31	21	+10	51
7	Tigres FC	31	31	26	+5	42
8	Real Soacha	25	31	28	+3	33
9	Patriotas	25	30	33	-3	34
10	Popayan	24	29	31	-2	27
11	Bogota FC	30	25	31	-6	37
12	Depor FC	25	24	38	-14	23
13	Ind. Yumbo	24	23	17	+6	36
14	Real Santander	25	21	38	-17	19
15	Orsomarso	23	17	23	-6	26
16	Leones FC	24	15	39	-24	19