Ind. Yumbo vs Tigres FC Statistics & Analysis

⚽

Ind. Yumbo

Oct 08, 2026 - 20:30

1 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 85%

Tigres FC

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Ind. Yumbo Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12431612

Closing Odds 3.4

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Draw · Ind. Yumbo 1–1 Tigres FC

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE20 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Tigres FC (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Tigres FC (1X2) by about 4.0 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Ind. Yumbo (1X2)	39.5	41.8	-2.3
Draw (1X2)	29.5	31.2	-1.7
Tigres FC (1X2)	31.0	27.0	+4.0

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 31.0% on Tigres FC (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 27.0%. The difference — about 4.0 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE20 → PRE1 · Book: draftkings

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE20)	Closing (PRE1)
Ind. Yumbo (1X2)	2.2	2.2
Draw (1X2)	2.95	2.95
Tigres FC (1X2)	3.4	3.4

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Primera B
Fixture: Ind. Yumbo vs Tigres FC
Kickoff: 2026-10-08 20:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Ind. Yumbo 1.39 — Tigres FC 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Over 2.5 goals
Model: 48.2% · Implied: 38.2% · Probability edge: +9.9 pts · Est. EV: +20.0%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

Explore More Predictions Content

Get Premium Predictions for Ind. Yumbo & Tigres FC!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now

Back to Statistics

Primera B — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Internacional Palmira	32	17	8	7	59
2	Quindio	32	16	9	7	57
3	Envigado	34	15	11	8	56
4	Real Cartagena	34	15	10	9	55
5	Union Magdalena	32	15	8	9	53
6	Tigres FC	32	12	9	11	45
7	Ind. Yumbo	26	11	9	6	42
8	Bogota FC	32	9	11	12	38
9	Real Soacha	26	9	9	8	36
10	Barranquilla	32	9	8	15	35
11	Patriotas	26	9	7	10	34
12	Popayan	26	7	10	9	31
13	Orsomarso	26	6	9	11	27
14	Depor FC	26	5	8	13	23
15	Leones FC	26	4	8	14	20
16	Real Santander	26	3	10	13	19

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Real Cartagena	34	53	39	+14	55
2	Envigado	34	46	31	+15	56
3	Union Magdalena	32	45	31	+14	53
4	Internacional Palmira	32	40	28	+12	59
5	Barranquilla	32	37	43	-6	35
6	Quindio	32	33	21	+12	57
7	Real Soacha	26	33	29	+4	36
8	Popayan	26	33	34	-1	31
9	Tigres FC	32	32	26	+6	45
10	Patriotas	26	30	34	-4	34
11	Ind. Yumbo	26	28	20	+8	42
12	Bogota FC	32	28	35	-7	38
13	Depor FC	26	25	40	-15	23
14	Real Santander	26	22	41	-19	19
15	Orsomarso	26	20	28	-8	27
16	Leones FC	26	16	41	-25	20