Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Brann vs Kristiansund BK

Brann vs Kristiansund BK Statistics & Analysis

Brann Brann
Jul 03, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.43
2 1.17
xG Accuracy: 71%
Kristiansund BK Kristiansund BK
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Brann Kristiansund BK ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 01:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1790352

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Kristiansund BK win · Brann 1–2 Kristiansund BK
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Brann vs Kristiansund BK
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 26.8% · Away 25.4%
  • xG (showing): Brann 1.43 — Kristiansund BK 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 31.6% · Probability edge: +20.2 pts · Est. EV: +60.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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