Statistics / Football / World. Friendlies Clubs / Slovan Liberec vs Ústí nad Labem

Slovan Liberec vs Ústí nad Labem Statistics & Analysis

Jun 27, 2026 - 09:00
2 1.35
0 1.25
xG Accuracy: 59%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 00:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2906448

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Slovan Liberec win · Slovan Liberec 2–0 Ústí nad Labem
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Friendlies Clubs
  • Fixture: Slovan Liberec vs Ústí nad Labem
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-27 09:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.0% · Draw 27.5% · Away 27.5%
  • xG (showing): Slovan Liberec 1.35 — Ústí nad Labem 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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