Statistics / Football / World. CONCACAF Central American Cup / CS Herediano vs CD Marathon

CS Herediano vs CD Marathon Statistics & Analysis

CS Herediano CS Herediano
Jul 31, 2026 - 01:00
0 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 49%
CD Marathon CD Marathon
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 CS Herediano Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 25, 2026 · 02:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1668424

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · CS Herediano 0–0 CD Marathon
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: CONCACAF Central American Cup
  • Fixture: CS Herediano vs CD Marathon
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-31 01:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away 29.3%
  • xG (showing): CS Herediano 1.32 — CD Marathon 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.5% · Implied: 49.9% · Probability edge: +4.6 pts · Est. EV: +3.5%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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