Statistics / Football / Aruba. Division di Honor / La Fama vs Britannia

La Fama vs Britannia Statistics & Analysis

La Fama La Fama
Jun 17, 2026 - 00:30
2 2.22
2 2.24
xG Accuracy: 88%
Britannia Britannia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Britannia Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 2-2, 1-2, 2-1, 1-1, 2-3 2-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 18:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1624254

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · La Fama 2–2 Britannia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Division di Honor
  • Fixture: La Fama vs Britannia
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-17 00:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.1% · Draw 21.0% · Away 39.9%
  • xG (showing): La Fama 2.22 — Britannia 2.24 (total xG ≈ 4.46)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Division di Honor Division di Honor — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dakota 9 9 0 0 27
2 Britannia 9 6 1 2 19
3 La Fama 9 6 0 3 18
4 Sporting 9 5 1 3 16
5 RCA 9 5 0 4 15
6 Bubali 9 4 1 4 13
7 Nacional 9 4 0 5 12
8 River Plate 9 2 2 5 8
9 Estrella 9 1 1 7 4
10 Real Koyari 9 0 0 9 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dakota 9 45 11 +34 27
2 Sporting 9 36 13 +23 16
3 La Fama 9 31 13 +18 18
4 Bubali 9 27 19 +8 13
5 RCA 9 20 12 +8 15
6 Estrella 9 19 37 -18 4
7 Britannia 9 18 12 +6 19
8 Nacional 9 18 13 +5 12
9 River Plate 9 17 29 -12 8
10 Real Koyari 9 3 75 -72 0