Statistics / Football / Cameroon. Elite Two / Union Abong-Mbang vs Les Astres

Union Abong-Mbang vs Les Astres Statistics & Analysis

Union Abong-Mbang Union Abong-Mbang
Jun 20, 2026 - 14:30
1 1.34
1 1.26
xG Accuracy: 85%
Les Astres Les Astres
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Union Abong-Mbang Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 12:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2513363

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Union Abong-Mbang 1–1 Les Astres
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Elite Two
  • Fixture: Union Abong-Mbang vs Les Astres
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-20 14:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Union Abong-Mbang 1.34 — Les Astres 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Elite Two Elite Two — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FAP 1 1 0 0 3
1 Union Abong-Mbang 1 1 0 0 3
2 APEJES Academy 1 1 0 0 3
2 Kumba 1 1 0 0 3
3 Union Douala 1 0 1 0 1
3 Racing 1 0 1 0 1
4 Les Astres 1 0 1 0 1
4 Yafoot 1 0 1 0 1
5 Eding Sport 1 0 1 0 1
5 Bamboutos 0 0 0 0 0
6 Atlantic 1 0 1 0 1
6 Avion Academy 0 0 0 0 0
7 Sable 1 0 0 1 0
7 Tonnerre 1 0 0 1 0
8 Foncha ST 1 0 0 1 0
8 Bafmeng United 1 0 0 1 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FAP 1 2 0 +2 3
2 APEJES Academy 1 2 1 +1 3
3 Union Abong-Mbang 1 1 0 +1 3
4 Kumba 1 1 0 +1 3
5 Union Douala 1 1 1 0 1
6 Les Astres 1 1 1 0 1
7 Eding Sport 1 1 1 0 1
8 Atlantic 1 1 1 0 1
9 Sable 1 1 2 -1 0
10 Racing 1 0 0 0 1
11 Yafoot 1 0 0 0 1
12 Bamboutos 0 0 0 0 0
13 Avion Academy 0 0 0 0 0
14 Tonnerre 1 0 1 -1 0
15 Bafmeng United 1 0 1 -1 0
16 Foncha ST 1 0 2 -2 0