Folkestone Invicta vs Charlton Athletic U21 Statistics & Analysis

Folkestone Invicta

Jul 18, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.35

0 1.25

xG Accuracy: 59%

Charlton Athletic U21

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Folkestone Invicta Folkestone Invicta ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 17:51 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1906364

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Folkestone Invicta win · Folkestone Invicta 2–0 Charlton Athletic U21

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Club Friendlies
Fixture: Folkestone Invicta vs Charlton Athletic U21
Kickoff: 2026-07-18 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.9%
xG (showing): Folkestone Invicta 1.35 — Charlton Athletic U21 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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