Statistics / Football / World. UEFA Nations League / Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia

Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia Statistics & Analysis

Switzerland Switzerland
Oct 06, 2026 - 18:45
3 1.12
0 1.29
xG Accuracy: 42%
FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FYR Macedonia Switzerland ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 0-0, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 30, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11916144

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Switzerland win · Switzerland 3–0 FYR Macedonia
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: UEFA Nations League
  • Fixture: Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-06 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.4% · Draw 30.8% · Away 38.7%
  • xG (showing): Switzerland 1.12 — FYR Macedonia 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.41)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 50.5% · Implied: 24.2% · Probability edge: +26.3 pts · Est. EV: +127.2%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 50.5% · No 49.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (13.0%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI–Market Conflict - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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UEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 France 4 3 1 0 10
2 Italy 4 2 1 1 7
3 Belgium 4 2 0 2 6
4 Türkiye 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Italy 4 8 5 +3 7
2 France 4 7 2 +5 10
3 Belgium 4 6 5 +1 6
4 Türkiye 4 2 11 -9 0
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 France 4 2.0 0.6 +1.4 10
2 Italy 4 2.0 1.4 +0.6 7
3 Türkiye 4 1.4 2.0 -0.6 0
4 Belgium 4 0.6 2.0 -1.4 6