Statistics / Football / Colombia. Copa Colombia / America de Cali vs Real Cartagena

America de Cali vs Real Cartagena Statistics & Analysis

America de Cali America de Cali
Jul 22, 2026 - 00:30
2 1.39
1 1.21
xG Accuracy: 80%
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 America de Cali America de Cali ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 30, 2026 · 23:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2543181

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result America de Cali win · America de Cali 2–1 Real Cartagena
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Copa Colombia
  • Fixture: América de Cali vs Real Cartagena
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-22 00:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): América de Cali 1.39 — Real Cartagena 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Copa Colombia Copa Colombia — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Deportivo Cali 4 4 0 0 12
2 Alianza Petrolera 4 2 1 1 7
3 Popayan 4 2 1 1 7
4 Bucaramanga 4 1 0 3 3
5 Real Santander 4 0 0 4 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Deportivo Cali 4 10 2 +8 12
2 Bucaramanga 4 8 7 +1 3
3 Popayan 4 8 8 0 7
4 Alianza Petrolera 4 6 3 +3 7
5 Real Santander 4 1 13 -12 0
Copa Colombia Colombia. Copa Colombia Predictions