Statistics / Football / China. FA Cup / Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Jonoon

Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Jonoon Statistics & Analysis

Wuxi Wugou Wuxi Wugou
Jun 20, 2026 - 11:00
2(3) 1.39
2(5) 1.21
xG Accuracy: 68%
Qingdao Jonoon Qingdao Jonoon
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Wuxi Wugou Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 19:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1491951

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Wuxi Wugou 2–2 Qingdao Jonoon
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: FA Cup
  • Fixture: Wuxi Wugou vs Qingdao Jonoon
  • Kickoff: 2026-06-20 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 33.3%
  • xG (showing): Wuxi Wugou 1.39 — Qingdao Jonoon 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.5%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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