Gremio U17 vs Sao Paulo U17 Statistics & Analysis

Gremio U17

Sep 30, 2026 - 18:00

0 1.36

2 1.24

xG Accuracy: 56%

Sao Paulo U17

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Gremio U17 Sao Paulo U17 ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10587092

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sao Paulo U17 win · Gremio U17 0–2 Sao Paulo U17

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Brasileiro U17
Fixture: Gremio U17 vs Sao Paulo U17
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Gremio U17 1.36 — Sao Paulo U17 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U17 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	19	14	2	3	44
2	Corinthians U17	19	12	3	4	39
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	12	3	4	39
4	Fluminense U17	19	11	4	4	37
5	Cruzeiro U17	19	11	4	4	37
6	Flamengo RJ U17	19	9	6	4	33
7	Fortaleza U17	19	10	3	6	33
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	9	5	5	32
9	Sao Paulo U17	19	7	9	3	30
10	Santos U17	19	9	3	7	30
11	Athletico PR U17	19	8	5	6	29
12	Botafogo U17	19	7	4	8	25
13	Vasco U17	19	6	5	8	23
14	Internacional U17	19	7	2	10	23
15	Bahia U17	19	5	6	8	21
16	America MG U17	19	5	4	10	19
17	Juventude U17	19	4	4	11	16
18	Vitoria U17	19	3	1	15	10
19	Gremio U17	19	3	1	15	10
20	Atletico GO U17	19	1	0	18	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Corinthians U17	19	58	20	+38	39
2	Palmeiras U17	19	56	26	+30	44
3	RB Bragantino U17	19	55	26	+29	39
4	Atlético Mineiro U17	19	41	24	+17	32
5	Flamengo RJ U17	19	37	22	+15	33
6	Botafogo U17	19	37	43	-6	25
7	Fluminense U17	19	35	16	+19	37
8	Athletico PR U17	19	35	31	+4	29
9	Santos U17	19	35	33	+2	30
10	Cruzeiro U17	19	34	25	+9	37
11	America MG U17	19	30	27	+3	19
12	Bahia U17	19	30	33	-3	21
13	Vasco U17	19	29	27	+2	23
14	Fortaleza U17	19	29	33	-4	33
15	Sao Paulo U17	19	26	18	+8	30
16	Internacional U17	19	22	33	-11	23
17	Vitoria U17	19	19	46	-27	10
18	Juventude U17	19	18	49	-31	16
19	Atletico GO U17	19	16	73	-57	3
20	Gremio U17	19	15	52	-37	10