Fluminense U17 vs Botafogo U17 Statistics & Analysis

Fluminense U17

Sep 14, 2026 - 18:00

2 1.42

0 1.18

xG Accuracy: 62%

Botafogo U17

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 08, 2026 · 02:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7573225

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fluminense U17 win · Fluminense U17 2–0 Botafogo U17

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Brasileiro U17
Fixture: Fluminense U17 vs Botafogo U17
Kickoff: 2026-09-14 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
xG (showing): Fluminense U17 1.42 — Botafogo U17 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U17 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	17	13	2	2	41
2	Fluminense U17	18	11	4	3	37
3	Corinthians U17	18	11	3	4	36
4	RB Bragantino U17	18	11	3	4	36
5	Cruzeiro U17	18	10	4	4	34
6	Flamengo RJ U17	18	8	6	4	30
7	Fortaleza U17	18	9	3	6	30
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	18	8	5	5	29
9	Athletico PR U17	18	8	5	5	29
10	Santos U17	18	8	3	7	27
11	Botafogo U17	18	7	4	7	25
12	Sao Paulo U17	17	5	9	3	24
13	Vasco U17	18	6	5	7	23
14	Internacional U17	18	7	2	9	23
15	America MG U17	18	5	4	9	19
16	Bahia U17	18	4	6	8	18
17	Juventude U17	18	4	4	10	16
18	Vitoria U17	18	3	1	14	10
19	Gremio U17	18	3	1	14	10
20	Atletico GO U17	18	1	0	17	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	RB Bragantino U17	18	52	26	+26	36
2	Corinthians U17	18	50	20	+30	36
3	Palmeiras U17	17	50	24	+26	41
4	Atlético Mineiro U17	18	37	23	+14	29
5	Botafogo U17	18	37	40	-3	25
6	Flamengo RJ U17	18	36	22	+14	30
7	Fluminense U17	18	35	15	+20	37
8	Athletico PR U17	18	34	29	+5	29
9	Cruzeiro U17	18	32	24	+8	34
10	America MG U17	18	30	26	+4	19
11	Santos U17	18	30	33	-3	27
12	Vasco U17	18	29	22	+7	23
13	Bahia U17	18	29	33	-4	18
14	Fortaleza U17	18	27	32	-5	30
15	Sao Paulo U17	17	22	17	+5	24
16	Internacional U17	18	21	31	-10	23
17	Vitoria U17	18	19	41	-22	10
18	Juventude U17	18	17	45	-28	16
19	Atletico GO U17	18	16	65	-49	3
20	Gremio U17	18	15	50	-35	10