Bahia U17 vs Atlético Mineiro U17 Statistics & Analysis

Bahia U17

Sep 02, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.11

2 1.49

xG Accuracy: 84%

Atlético Mineiro U17

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Atlético Mineiro U17 Atlético Mineiro U17 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5626120

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Atlético Mineiro U17 win · Bahia U17 1–2 Atlético Mineiro U17

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Brasileiro U17
Fixture: Bahia U17 vs Atlético Mineiro U17
Kickoff: 2026-09-02 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 26.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away 44.3%
xG (showing): Bahia U17 1.11 — Atlético Mineiro U17 1.49 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 53.5% · No 46.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.3%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U17 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	16	13	1	2	40
2	Fluminense U17	17	11	3	3	36
3	RB Bragantino U17	16	10	2	4	32
4	Corinthians U17	16	9	3	4	30
5	Athletico PR U17	16	8	4	4	28
6	Cruzeiro U17	16	8	4	4	28
7	Flamengo RJ U17	16	7	6	3	27
8	Fortaleza U17	16	8	3	5	27
9	Atlético Mineiro U17	16	7	5	4	26
10	Santos U17	16	7	3	6	24
11	Sao Paulo U17	16	5	8	3	23
12	Botafogo U17	17	6	4	7	22
13	Internacional U17	16	7	1	8	22
14	Vasco U17	16	5	4	7	19
15	Bahia U17	16	4	5	7	17
16	America MG U17	16	4	4	8	16
17	Juventude U17	16	3	4	9	13
18	Gremio U17	16	3	1	12	10
19	Vitoria U17	16	2	1	13	7
20	Atletico GO U17	16	1	0	15	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	16	47	21	+26	40
2	RB Bragantino U17	16	47	23	+24	32
3	Corinthians U17	16	42	18	+24	30
4	Fluminense U17	17	35	15	+20	36
5	Atlético Mineiro U17	16	35	21	+14	26
6	Athletico PR U17	16	34	28	+6	28
7	Flamengo RJ U17	16	33	19	+14	27
8	Botafogo U17	17	31	38	-7	22
9	Bahia U17	16	28	28	0	17
10	America MG U17	16	26	23	+3	16
11	Cruzeiro U17	16	25	24	+1	28
12	Fortaleza U17	16	24	24	0	27
13	Vasco U17	16	23	21	+2	19
14	Santos U17	16	23	28	-5	24
15	Sao Paulo U17	16	21	16	+5	23
16	Internacional U17	16	20	29	-9	22
17	Juventude U17	16	15	39	-24	13
18	Gremio U17	16	14	43	-29	10
19	Atletico GO U17	16	13	53	-40	3
20	Vitoria U17	16	12	37	-25	7