Fluminense U17 vs Gremio U17 Statistics & Analysis

Fluminense U17

Jul 14, 2026 - 18:00

3 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

Gremio U17

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Fluminense U17 Fluminense U17 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1484805

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Fluminense U17 win · Fluminense U17 3–0 Gremio U17

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Brasileiro U17
Fixture: Fluminense U17 vs Gremio U17
Kickoff: 2026-07-14 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Fluminense U17 1.32 — Gremio U17 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U17 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	16	13	1	2	40
2	Fluminense U17	17	11	3	3	36
3	RB Bragantino U17	16	10	2	4	32
4	Cruzeiro U17	17	9	4	4	31
5	Corinthians U17	16	9	3	4	30
6	Flamengo RJ U17	17	8	6	3	30
7	Athletico PR U17	17	8	4	5	28
8	Santos U17	17	8	3	6	27
9	Fortaleza U17	17	8	3	6	27
10	Atlético Mineiro U17	16	7	5	4	26
11	Sao Paulo U17	17	5	9	3	24
12	Internacional U17	17	7	2	8	23
13	Botafogo U17	17	6	4	7	22
14	Vasco U17	17	5	5	7	20
15	Bahia U17	17	4	6	7	18
16	America MG U17	17	4	4	9	16
17	Juventude U17	17	4	4	9	16
18	Vitoria U17	17	3	1	13	10
19	Gremio U17	17	3	1	13	10
20	Atletico GO U17	17	1	0	16	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	16	47	21	+26	40
2	RB Bragantino U17	16	47	23	+24	32
3	Corinthians U17	16	42	18	+24	30
4	Flamengo RJ U17	17	36	20	+16	30
5	Fluminense U17	17	35	15	+20	36
6	Atlético Mineiro U17	16	35	21	+14	26
7	Athletico PR U17	17	34	29	+5	28
8	Botafogo U17	17	31	38	-7	22
9	Santos U17	17	30	28	+2	27
10	Bahia U17	17	29	29	0	18
11	Cruzeiro U17	17	26	24	+2	31
12	America MG U17	17	26	24	+2	16
13	Vasco U17	17	24	22	+2	20
14	Fortaleza U17	17	24	31	-7	27
15	Sao Paulo U17	17	22	17	+5	24
16	Internacional U17	17	21	30	-9	23
17	Vitoria U17	17	18	38	-20	10
18	Juventude U17	17	16	39	-23	16
19	Gremio U17	17	15	46	-31	10
20	Atletico GO U17	17	14	59	-45	3