Vasco U17 vs Fluminense U17 Statistics & Analysis

Vasco U17

Jul 07, 2026 - 18:00

1 1.28

1 1.32

xG Accuracy: 85%

Fluminense U17

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Fluminense U17 Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 18:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1484848

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Vasco U17 1–1 Fluminense U17

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Brasileiro U17
Fixture: Vasco U17 vs Fluminense U17
Kickoff: 2026-07-07 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
xG (showing): Vasco U17 1.28 — Fluminense U17 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Brasileiro U17 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Palmeiras U17	17	13	2	2	41
2	Fluminense U17	18	11	4	3	37
3	Corinthians U17	18	11	3	4	36
4	RB Bragantino U17	18	11	3	4	36
5	Cruzeiro U17	18	10	4	4	34
6	Flamengo RJ U17	18	8	6	4	30
7	Fortaleza U17	18	9	3	6	30
8	Atlético Mineiro U17	18	8	5	5	29
9	Athletico PR U17	18	8	5	5	29
10	Santos U17	18	8	3	7	27
11	Botafogo U17	18	7	4	7	25
12	Sao Paulo U17	17	5	9	3	24
13	Vasco U17	18	6	5	7	23
14	Internacional U17	18	7	2	9	23
15	America MG U17	18	5	4	9	19
16	Bahia U17	18	4	6	8	18
17	Juventude U17	18	4	4	10	16
18	Vitoria U17	18	3	1	14	10
19	Gremio U17	18	3	1	14	10
20	Atletico GO U17	18	1	0	17	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	RB Bragantino U17	18	52	26	+26	36
2	Corinthians U17	18	50	20	+30	36
3	Palmeiras U17	17	50	24	+26	41
4	Atlético Mineiro U17	18	37	23	+14	29
5	Botafogo U17	18	37	40	-3	25
6	Flamengo RJ U17	18	36	22	+14	30
7	Fluminense U17	18	35	15	+20	37
8	Athletico PR U17	18	34	29	+5	29
9	Cruzeiro U17	18	32	24	+8	34
10	America MG U17	18	30	26	+4	19
11	Santos U17	18	30	33	-3	27
12	Vasco U17	18	29	22	+7	23
13	Bahia U17	18	29	33	-4	18
14	Fortaleza U17	18	27	32	-5	30
15	Sao Paulo U17	17	22	17	+5	24
16	Internacional U17	18	21	31	-10	23
17	Vitoria U17	18	19	41	-22	10
18	Juventude U17	18	17	45	-28	16
19	Atletico GO U17	18	16	65	-49	3
20	Gremio U17	18	15	50	-35	10