Statistics / Football / Bhutan. Premier League / Ugyen Academy vs Transport United

Ugyen Academy vs Transport United Statistics & Analysis

Ugyen Academy Ugyen Academy
Jul 13, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.29
1 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
Transport United Transport United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Transport United Transport United ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 03:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1545607

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Transport United win · Ugyen Academy 0–1 Transport United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Ugyen Academy vs Transport United
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-13 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Ugyen Academy 1.29 — Transport United 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Paro 16 14 1 1 43
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 40
3 Thimphu 17 10 1 6 31
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 24
7 Bhutan U19 16 5 4 7 19
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Paro 16 66 12 +54 43
2 Thimphu City 17 49 12 +37 40
3 Drukpa 18 36 29 +7 24
4 RTC 18 29 20 +9 28
5 Transport United 18 28 24 +4 30
6 Bhutan U19 16 28 38 -10 19
7 Tsirang 18 27 48 -21 16
8 Thimphu 17 26 21 +5 31
9 Ugyen Academy 18 15 61 -46 7
10 Tensung 18 14 53 -39 8
Premier League Bhutan. Premier League Predictions