Tensung vs Thimphu Statistics & Analysis

Tensung

Jul 03, 2026 - 10:00

0 1.21

1 1.39

xG Accuracy: 64%

Thimphu

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Thimphu Thimphu ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 13:20 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1598132

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Thimphu win · Tensung 0–1 Thimphu

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Premier League
Fixture: Tensung vs Thimphu
Kickoff: 2026-07-03 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
xG (showing): Tensung 1.21 — Thimphu 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Premier League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Paro	16	14	1	1	43
2	Thimphu City	17	12	4	1	40
3	Thimphu	17	10	1	6	31
4	Transport United	17	9	2	6	29
5	RTC	17	7	4	6	25
6	Drukpa	17	6	5	6	23
7	Bhutan U19	16	5	4	7	19
8	Tsirang	18	4	4	10	16
9	Tensung	17	2	2	13	8
10	Ugyen Academy	18	2	1	15	7

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Paro	16	66	12	+54	43
2	Thimphu City	17	49	12	+37	40
3	Drukpa	17	35	28	+7	23
4	Bhutan U19	16	28	38	-10	19
5	Transport United	17	27	23	+4	29
6	Tsirang	18	27	48	-21	16
7	Thimphu	17	26	21	+5	31
8	RTC	17	24	19	+5	25
9	Ugyen Academy	18	15	61	-46	7
10	Tensung	17	13	48	-35	8