Statistics / Football / Brazil. Catarinense U20 / Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20

Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20 Statistics & Analysis

Brusque U20 Brusque U20
Jul 11, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.19
1 1.41
xG Accuracy: 64%
Joinville U20 Joinville U20
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Joinville U20 Joinville U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 19:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1630555

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Joinville U20 win · Brusque U20 0–1 Joinville U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Catarinense U20
  • Fixture: Brusque U20 vs Joinville U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
  • xG (showing): Brusque U20 1.19 — Joinville U20 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Catarinense U20 Catarinense U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Avaí U20 9 6 3 0 21
2 Barra SC U20 8 6 2 0 20
3 Criciuma U20 9 4 4 1 16
4 Chapecoense U20 9 4 2 3 14
5 Figueirense U20 9 3 4 2 13
6 Nação U20 8 2 3 4 9
7 Concórdia U20 8 2 3 3 9
8 Joinville U20 9 2 2 5 8
9 Carlos Renaux U20 10 2 2 6 8
10 Brusque U20 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Avaí U20 9 21 6 +15 21
2 Barra SC U20 8 21 9 +12 20
3 Criciuma U20 9 17 5 +12 16
4 Nação U20 8 17 17 0 9
5 Figueirense U20 9 15 10 +5 13
6 Chapecoense U20 9 14 15 -1 14
7 Joinville U20 9 10 20 -10 8
8 Brusque U20 9 10 25 -15 4
9 Concórdia U20 8 7 12 -5 9
10 Carlos Renaux U20 10 5 17 -12 8