Statistics / Football / Australia. Tasmania Northern Championship / Burnie Utd. vs Launceston United U21

Burnie Utd. vs Launceston United U21 Statistics & Analysis

Burnie Utd. Burnie Utd.
Jul 25, 2026 - 04:30
9 1.45
0 1.15
xG Accuracy: 9%
Launceston United U21 Launceston United U21
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Burnie Utd. Burnie Utd. ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 9-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 23, 2026 · 13:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1449621

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Burnie Utd. win · Burnie Utd. 9–0 Launceston United U21
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Tasmania Northern Championship
  • Fixture: Burnie Utd. vs Launceston United U21
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-25 04:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Burnie Utd. 1.45 — Launceston United U21 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Tasmania Northern Championship Tasmania Northern Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Northern Rangers 21 20 0 1 60
2 Devonport U21 21 16 2 3 50
3 Ulverstone U21 20 11 3 6 36
4 Launceston U21 20 9 0 11 27
5 Somerset 20 7 2 11 23
6 Burnie Utd. 21 7 2 12 23
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 5 0 15 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 2 1 18 7
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Northern Rangers 21 130 24 +106 60
2 Devonport U21 21 107 27 +80 50
3 Burnie Utd. 21 52 79 -27 23
4 Ulverstone U21 20 49 38 +11 36
5 Somerset 20 40 59 -19 23
6 Launceston U21 20 32 39 -7 27
7 Riverside Olympic U21 20 28 76 -48 15
8 Launceston United U21 21 19 115 -96 7