Frigg Oslo FK W vs Viking FK Statistics & Analysis

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Frigg Oslo FK W

Sep 26, 2026 - 13:00

0 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 64%

Viking FK

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Frigg Oslo FK W Viking FK ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10088006

Closing Odds 1.1

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Viking FK win · Frigg Oslo FK W 0–1 Viking FK

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2), Draw (1X2) meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2) by about 32.8 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2)	39.5	6.7	+32.8
Draw (1X2)	29.5	10.3	+19.2
Viking FK (1X2)	31.0	83.0	-52.0

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 39.5% on Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2), while the closing snapshot implied about 6.7%. The difference — about 32.8 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2)	13.57	13.57
Draw (1X2)	8.9	8.9
Viking FK (1X2)	1.1	1.1

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Model favours Frigg Oslo FK W; market prices Viking FK instead — inputs may be missing or stale.

Model: Frigg Oslo FK W 1.39 xG vs Viking FK 1.21 → Frigg Oslo FK W 39.5%
Market: Viking FK ~6.7% implied
Validation failed — do not treat 1X2 EV as actionable.

Do not act on 1X2 value until validation passes. Structural leans (O/U, BTTS) need separate odds review.

Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Wait - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

1. Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Start W	8	6	2	0	20
2	Viking FK	8	6	1	1	19
3	Åsane W	8	5	3	0	18
4	TIL 2020 W	8	5	2	1	17
5	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	4	2	2	14
6	Bryne W	8	3	2	3	11
7	Odd	8	2	3	3	9
8	Kolbotn W	8	2	2	4	8
9	Grei	8	2	1	5	7
10	Klepp W	8	2	0	6	6
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	1	0	7	3
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	1	0	7	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Viking FK	8	25	7	+18	19
2	TIL 2020 W	8	19	5	+14	17
3	Åsane W	8	17	6	+11	18
4	Start W	8	17	8	+9	20
5	Grei	8	16	18	-2	7
6	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	13	9	+4	14
7	Kolbotn W	8	11	12	-1	8
8	Klepp W	8	11	26	-15	6
9	Odd	8	9	10	-1	9
10	Fyllingsdalen W	8	9	27	-18	3
11	Bryne W	8	7	9	-2	11
12	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	4	21	-17	3