Frigg Oslo FK W vs Bryne W Statistics & Analysis

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Frigg Oslo FK W

Aug 30, 2026 - 11:00

1 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 64%

Bryne W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Frigg Oslo FK W Frigg Oslo FK W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5133466

Closing Odds 2.05

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Frigg Oslo FK W win · Frigg Oslo FK W 1–0 Bryne W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2), Draw (1X2), Under 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 14.8 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2)	36.6	32.9	+3.7
Draw (1X2)	29.6	23.1	+6.6
Bryne W (1X2)	33.8	44.1	-10.3
Over 2.5 goals	48.2	63.0	-14.8
Under 2.5 goals	51.8	37.0	+14.8

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 37.0%. The difference — about 14.8 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE30)	Closing (PRE1)
Frigg Oslo FK W (1X2)	2.75	2.75
Draw (1X2)	3.92	3.92
Bryne W (1X2)	2.05	2.05
Over 2.5 goals	1.47	1.47
Under 2.5 goals	2.5	2.5

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 1. Division Women
Fixture: Frigg Oslo FK W vs Bryne W
Kickoff: 2026-08-30 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Frigg Oslo FK W 1.33 — Bryne W 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 37.4% · Probability edge: +14.4 pts · Est. EV: +29.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

1. Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Start W	8	6	2	0	20
2	Viking FK	8	6	1	1	19
3	Åsane W	8	5	3	0	18
4	TIL 2020 W	8	5	2	1	17
5	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	4	2	2	14
6	Bryne W	8	3	2	3	11
7	Odd	8	2	3	3	9
8	Kolbotn W	8	2	2	4	8
9	Grei	8	2	1	5	7
10	Klepp W	8	2	0	6	6
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	1	0	7	3
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	1	0	7	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Viking FK	8	25	7	+18	19
2	TIL 2020 W	8	19	5	+14	17
3	Åsane W	8	17	6	+11	18
4	Start W	8	17	8	+9	20
5	Grei	8	16	18	-2	7
6	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	13	9	+4	14
7	Kolbotn W	8	11	12	-1	8
8	Klepp W	8	11	26	-15	6
9	Odd	8	9	10	-1	9
10	Fyllingsdalen W	8	9	27	-18	3
11	Bryne W	8	7	9	-2	11
12	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	4	21	-17	3