TIL 2020 W vs Kolbotn W Statistics & Analysis

TIL 2020 W

Sep 13, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.31

2 1.29

xG Accuracy: 68%

Kolbotn W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 TIL 2020 W Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7432779

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · TIL 2020 W 2–2 Kolbotn W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 1. Division Women
Fixture: TIL 2020 W vs Kolbotn W
Kickoff: 2026-09-13 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): TIL 2020 W 1.31 — Kolbotn W 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

1. Division Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Start W	8	6	2	0	20
2	Viking FK	8	6	1	1	19
3	Åsane W	8	5	3	0	18
4	TIL 2020 W	8	5	2	1	17
5	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	4	2	2	14
6	Bryne W	8	3	2	3	11
7	Odd	8	2	3	3	9
8	Kolbotn W	8	2	2	4	8
9	Grei	8	2	1	5	7
10	Klepp W	8	2	0	6	6
11	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	1	0	7	3
12	Fyllingsdalen W	8	1	0	7	3

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Viking FK	8	25	7	+18	19
2	TIL 2020 W	8	19	5	+14	17
3	Åsane W	8	17	6	+11	18
4	Start W	8	17	8	+9	20
5	Grei	8	16	18	-2	7
6	Arna-Bjørnar W	8	13	9	+4	14
7	Kolbotn W	8	11	12	-1	8
8	Klepp W	8	11	26	-15	6
9	Odd	8	9	10	-1	9
10	Fyllingsdalen W	8	9	27	-18	3
11	Bryne W	8	7	9	-2	11
12	Frigg Oslo FK W	8	4	21	-17	3