Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Premiership Women / Crusaders W vs Lisburn

Crusaders W vs Lisburn Statistics & Analysis

Crusaders W Crusaders W
Aug 14, 2026 - 19:00
1 1.40
1 1.20
xG Accuracy: 85%
Lisburn Lisburn
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Crusaders W Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 08, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3236522

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Crusaders W 1–1 Lisburn
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Premiership Women
  • Fixture: Crusaders W vs Lisburn
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-14 19:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 40.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 30.6%
  • xG (showing): Crusaders W 1.4 — Lisburn 1.2 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premiership Women Premiership Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Crusaders W 5 3 1 1 10
2 Glentoran BU W 3 3 0 0 9
3 Cliftonville W 3 3 0 0 9
4 Linfield W 3 2 0 1 6
5 Derry City W 5 2 0 3 6
6 Lisburn 8 1 1 6 4
7 Larne W 5 0 2 3 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Glentoran BU W 3 17 0 +17 9
2 Linfield W 3 16 3 +13 6
3 Cliftonville W 3 15 2 +13 9
4 Crusaders W 5 11 11 0 10
5 Derry City W 5 10 12 -2 6
6 Lisburn 8 5 27 -22 4
7 Larne W 5 4 23 -19 2