Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Premiership Women / Glentoran BU W vs Crusaders W

Glentoran BU W vs Crusaders W Statistics & Analysis

Glentoran BU W Glentoran BU W
Aug 07, 2026 - 18:45
5 1.64
1 0.96
xG Accuracy: 39%
Crusaders W Crusaders W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Glentoran BU W Glentoran BU W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2681862

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Glentoran BU W win · Glentoran BU W 5–1 Crusaders W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Premiership Women
  • Fixture: Glentoran BU W vs Crusaders W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 51.8% · Draw 27.6% · Away 20.5%
  • xG (showing): Glentoran BU W 1.64 — Crusaders W 0.96 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 51.3% · No 48.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 51.3% · No 48.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Premiership Women Premiership Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Crusaders W 5 3 1 1 10
2 Glentoran BU W 3 3 0 0 9
3 Cliftonville W 3 3 0 0 9
4 Linfield W 3 2 0 1 6
5 Derry City W 5 2 0 3 6
6 Lisburn 8 1 1 6 4
7 Larne W 5 0 2 3 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Glentoran BU W 3 17 0 +17 9
2 Linfield W 3 16 3 +13 6
3 Cliftonville W 3 15 2 +13 9
4 Crusaders W 5 11 11 0 10
5 Derry City W 5 10 12 -2 6
6 Lisburn 8 5 27 -22 4
7 Larne W 5 4 23 -19 2
Premiership Women Northern-Ireland. Premiership Women Predictions