FC Krasnodar vs Dynamo Statistics & Analysis

FC Krasnodar

May 07, 2026 - 17:30

0(6) 1.45

0(5) 1.25

xG Accuracy: 48%

Dynamo

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
1X2 FC Krasnodar Draw ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 03, 2026 · 08:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2919199

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · FC Krasnodar 0–0 Dynamo

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Cup
Fixture: FC Krasnodar vs Dynamo
Kickoff: 2026-05-05 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away 32.6%
xG (showing): FC Krasnodar 1.45 — Dynamo 1.25 (total xG ≈ 2.7)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 49.4% · Implied: 43.8% · Probability edge: +5.6 pts · Est. EV: +9.7%
BTTS (model): Yes 41.3% · No 58.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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