Køge vs KoldingQ Statistics & Analysis

Køge

Jun 13, 2026 - 12:00

3 1.76

1 1.22

xG Accuracy: 67%

KoldingQ

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Køge Køge ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 01:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1784581

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Køge win · Køge 3–1 KoldingQ

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Kvindeliga
Fixture: Køge vs KoldingQ
Kickoff: 2026-06-13 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 48.6% · Draw 26.3% · Away 25.1%
xG (showing): Køge 1.76 — KoldingQ 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.98)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
Correct score (top bin): N/A

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Kvindeliga — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Køge	23	15	5	3	50
2	Brøndby	23	13	8	2	47
3	Fortuna Hjørring	23	11	5	7	38
4	Nordsjælland	23	9	10	4	37
5	AGF	23	7	5	11	26
6	KoldingQ	23	5	3	15	18
7	Midtjylland W	14	2	3	9	9
8	Odense Q	14	1	1	12	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Køge	23	47	21	+26	50
2	Nordsjælland	23	47	25	+22	37
3	Brøndby	23	36	16	+20	47
4	Fortuna Hjørring	23	36	21	+15	38
5	AGF	23	26	31	-5	26
6	KoldingQ	23	24	52	-28	18
7	Midtjylland W	14	14	30	-16	9
8	Odense Q	14	6	40	-34	4